If you’ve noticed my absence from email and social media for the last few weeks, it’s because I’ve just spent a month in the US on a family holiday (and if you haven’t noticed my absence, I promise I’m not… Read More »Look for signals in out-of-the-way places
I’ve recently completed a series of workshops on the Art of Future Thinking for a couple of clients, and there was one idea I shared that got significant pushback. In the workshop, I shared the story of competing in the… Read More »The challenges that are close were once far away
We are often told that the only certain things in life are death and taxes… but between offshore tax havens and tech bros working on longevity projects, even these two certainties can’t be relied on. This leaves a whole lot… Read More »Things are more uncertain than we think
So far this year, I’ve had at least three different clients tell me that they want help to future-proof their organisation. And as proactive and exciting as this may sound, it’s also something that is entirely unachievable and, to be… Read More »Future-proofing is bullshit
Just last week it was announced that ChatGPT has become the fastest growing app of all time, reaching 100 million users in a little over two months. And over that time there has been so much said about Open AI’s new… Read More »I visited the future… and all I got was this lousy chatbot
The following is an extract from my new book! The Scenario Planning Guide is a comprehensive and insanely practical guide for leaders who are interested in using scenarios as part of their strategic planning process. I’m hoping to launch it mid-October, but if… Read More »Think before you plan
I first studied economics nearly 30 years ago when I was still in high school. I have probably forgotten a lot of what I learnt at high school, but there is one foundational tenet of economic theory that I will… Read More »From disjointed speculation to collective assumptions
Between extreme weather events, political upheaval, regional insecurity, financial instability and global conflicts, there is a general feeling that the world is a little uncertain right now. But is the current level of uncertainty we’re experiencing different from the uncertainties… Read More »Are things more uncertain or is it just me?