We are often told that the only certain things in life are death and taxes… but between offshore tax havens and tech bros working on longevity projects, even these two certainties can’t be relied on. This leaves a whole lot… Read More »Things are more uncertain than we think
Notwithstanding my previously stated position to not refer to AI as a form of intelligence (as it lacks the capacity for reason and can only consult statistical models to provide a generalised response), I think it is worth taking a… Read More »Can AI make us more human?
So far this year, I’ve had at least three different clients tell me that they want help to future-proof their organisation. And as proactive and exciting as this may sound, it’s also something that is entirely unachievable and, to be… Read More »Future-proofing is bullshit
Just last week it was announced that ChatGPT has become the fastest growing app of all time, reaching 100 million users in a little over two months. And over that time there has been so much said about Open AI’s new… Read More »I visited the future… and all I got was this lousy chatbot
An extract from my soon to be released Scenario Planning Guide The following post is another abstract from my upcoming book ‘The Scenario Planning Guide’ due out later this month. If you’d like to be one of the first to… Read More »Having a Future Mindset
The following is an extract from my new book! The Scenario Planning Guide is a comprehensive and insanely practical guide for leaders who are interested in using scenarios as part of their strategic planning process. I’m hoping to launch it mid-October, but if… Read More »Think before you plan
I first studied economics nearly 30 years ago when I was still in high school. I have probably forgotten a lot of what I learnt at high school, but there is one foundational tenet of economic theory that I will… Read More »From disjointed speculation to collective assumptions
Between extreme weather events, political upheaval, regional insecurity, financial instability and global conflicts, there is a general feeling that the world is a little uncertain right now. But is the current level of uncertainty we’re experiencing different from the uncertainties… Read More »Are things more uncertain or is it just me?
**Beware, click-bait ahead** Research shows organisations are spending 36% less time working on strategy in 2022 than they did in 2021. Now I cannot vouch for the validity of that statistic* even though I believe it represents a deeper truth… Read More »The Paradox of Planning in uncertainty
In manufacturing terms, ‘just-in-time‘ is an approach where you try and hold as little stock or spare inventory as possible. Ideally, you want a part to turn up ‘just-in-time’ for it to be added to the car as the car… Read More »From Just-in-time to Just-in-case